Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 185.525861 215.572984 250.253716 293.547903 346.573190 409.952188 492.272050
2025-08-03 146.664551 184.503183 232.841501 300.288661 393.874182 522.104393 716.501417
2025-08-10 122.884232 162.956972 217.785334 300.500978 426.219420 617.411699 945.705482
2025-08-17 107.931793 149.166097 208.744532 304.542912 461.752790 723.613311 1227.404001
2025-08-24 95.659084 136.653972 198.560998 303.502191 487.318545 818.929948 1526.765125
2025-08-31 86.278787 126.811998 190.413987 303.385495 513.292860 921.157073 1883.736427
2025-09-07 79.657069 120.193587 186.110525 308.488706 549.217599 1052.747558 2370.776796
2025-09-14 71.095444 109.331077 173.143352 295.551455 546.898156 1103.356952 2685.357298
2025-09-21 65.872423 103.355561 167.668195 295.466844 570.530142 1219.513701 3249.811643
2025-09-28 61.734389 98.728925 163.905217 297.921437 600.050749 1360.097236 3987.719647
2025-10-05 60.373531 98.751994 168.527198 318.033431 674.828036 1647.944950 5484.665011
2025-10-12 58.778433 98.145659 171.825221 335.903909 749.350882 1970.183247 7482.575977
2025-10-19 55.009444 93.533986 167.513631 338.066766 789.747147 2226.915431 9646.382877
2025-10-26 52.187100 90.462054 166.011069 346.846479 852.807867 2605.308305 13228.841793
2025-11-02 48.919719 86.158828 161.361932 347.150255 892.041395 2926.113680 17249.560534
2025-11-09 46.384807 83.019286 158.740171 351.992410 947.423866 3356.672340 23481.961617
2025-11-16 43.650772 79.193042 154.117802 350.746456 983.190193 3733.705009 30760.164334
2025-11-23 41.272542 75.862179 150.180968 350.606750 1023.345995 4172.137933 41046.867831
2025-11-30 39.528471 73.683302 148.594177 356.719167 1089.154316 4817.162434 58916.706170
2025-12-07 36.607494 68.748817 140.021474 341.232454 1067.826803 4943.068265 68787.835066
2025-12-14 34.859416 66.197012 136.837604 341.131267 1108.425201 5509.655154 94904.699593
2025-12-21 33.424139 64.202387 134.771672 344.067241 1163.590491 6252.156703 138483.938032
2025-12-28 33.173075 64.800745 139.161457 368.163644 1323.566523 8046.271752 278099.842017